Discover how probability distribution methods can help predict stock market returns and improve investment decisions. Learn ...

Explore Treasury yield forecasts: 3‑month bills likely 1%–2%, curve inversion odds, negative-rate risk, and default dangers ...

Explore the binomial tree model's use in option pricing, its workings, and examples. Learn how this model estimates intrinsic values at various time periods.

Objectives To (1) understand what behaviours, beliefs, demographics and structural factors predict US adults’ intention to get a COVID-19 vaccination, (2) identify segments of the population ...

While Fed Chair Jay Powell won’t cut interest rates today, he is likely to give guidance on what the Fed is watching, what it’s thinking, and what it may do with rates down the road. Traders are ...

The hazard produced by natural phenomena on infrastructure and urban populations has been widely studied in the last 50 years. Researchers have recognised that the real danger posed by these phenomena ...

Future events are far from certain in the business world. This is especially true for smaller businesses, which tend to have more volatility than larger organizations, or newer businesses without a ...

When is it appropriate to completely reinvent the wheel? To an outsider, that seems to happen a lot in category theory, and probability theory isn’t spared from this treatment. We’ve had a useful ...