Learn how understanding the bond yield curve's signals can inform economic forecasts and enhance your investment decisions ...

The yield curve inverted in June 2022, and as we all know, the recession never came. When it flipped positive in 2024, ...

The yield curve is a graphical representation that plots the interest rates of bonds with equal credit quality but varying maturity dates. A normal yield curve slopes upward, indicating higher ...

As explained in Prof. Robert Jarrow's book cited below, forward rates contain a risk premium above and beyond the market's expectations for the 3-month forward rate. We document the size of that risk ...

The 10-year yield is often used as a stand-in for mortgage rates and also shows how investors feel about the economy’s future ...

North American yield curves are experiencing the steepest inversion of the last 3 decades, while European yield curves have flattened significantly in 2022. In the world of fixed income investing, ...

A yield curve is a graphical way to compare the yield on similar loans with different maturities. Several factors determine the course of the yield curve, including inflation expectations, liquidity, ...

Yield curves plot bond yields against their maturities, helping predict economic trends. Inverted yield curves suggest potential economic downturns, impacting investment choices. Understanding yield ...